LD Lossdog Research
topic

Technical Analysis

5 matching records.

Insight

Using Average True Range for Expected Move Calculation

The use of Average True Range (ATR) as a method to calculate expected move for stocks is discussed. It is described as a way to estimate the potential price movement based on historical volatility. The speaker suggests that while ATR is a traditional method, it can be replaced with option delta analysis for more flexibility and precision. The practical implication is that traders can use either method depending on their preference and the tools available, with option delta providing more choices and ease of use.

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Applicable when
  • Trading with options
  • Volatility analysis
Limitations
  • ATR may not account for sudden market changes
  • Option delta analysis requires access to options data
Q&A

What advice could I give to her as to let them stay on a little longer?

The speaker suggests that the trader should manage her winners more aggressively and close them earlier to improve her win percentage. The speaker also mentions that the trader's win percentage is only 50%, which is lower than expected, and that this is due to her waiting too long to close her winning trades.

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Actionable takeawayTraders should manage their winning trades more aggressively and close them earlier to improve their win percentage.
Q&A

How do you use technical analysis in your trading?

The trader uses technical analysis, specifically the relative strength index (RSI), to enter positions after fundamental analysis. This approach combines fundamental insights with technical indicators to identify optimal entry points.

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Actionable takeawayCombine fundamental analysis with technical indicators like RSI to determine entry points.
Q&A

What is the average true range and how is it used?

The average true range (ATR) is a measure of market volatility. It is used to estimate the expected price movement of a stock. The speaker suggests that while ATR is a traditional method, it can be replaced with option delta analysis for more flexibility and precision.

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Actionable takeawayTraders can use ATR or option delta analysis to estimate expected price movement, with the latter offering more flexibility.
Q&A

What are the best tools for analyzing the technical strengths of a stock versus what the institutional or retail sentiment is on that stock?

The best tool is implied volatility (IVR), which measures volatility relative to the stock itself. High IV indicates higher volatility and suggests strategies like selling premium. Charts are also used to assess if a stock is at the low or high end of its range.

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Actionable takeawayUse implied volatility (IVR) to determine volatility relative to the stock and use charts to assess price levels.