LD Lossdog Research
Symbol timeline

TLT

3 source-linked records across the archive.

Trade idea

TLT Put-selling

The speaker is selling June 85 puts for TLT, expecting the price to remain above the strike price. The trade is based on the assumption that the price of TLT will not fall below 85, allowing the seller to keep the premium. The speaker mentions that they sold puts in bonds yesterday and are applying the same strategy here.

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StrategyPut-selling
AssetETF
ExpirationJune
Time horizonShort-term
Entry / triggerSell June 85 puts for about 90 cents
Target / exitHigher than 90 cents
Invalidation / stopIf the price of TLT drops below the strike price of 85
SpeakerSpeaker
Structure / legs
  • June 85 puts
Risks
  • If the price of TLT falls below 85, the seller may be obligated to buy the underlying asset at the strike price, resulting in a loss.
Sell PutsETFTLTshort-termput selling
high confidenceVerify in video at 17:10 ↗
Trade idea

TLT bearish option trade

If inflation remains sticky and long-term yields stay elevated, a bearish option trade in TLT is a valid strategy. This is because TLT is inversely correlated with bond yields, and a short position in TLT would benefit from rising yields. The speaker suggests that ZB or ZN are cleaner alternatives, but TLT is still a viable option for smaller positions.

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Strategybearish option trade
AssetETF
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerinflation remains sticky and long-term yields stay elevated
Invalidation / stopif inflation or yields move contrary to expectations
Speakerspeaker
Structure / legs
  • short puts
Risks
  • market volatility
  • unexpected changes in inflation or yields
shortETFshortTLTshort-term
high confidenceVerify in video at 14:29 ↗
Trade idea

TLT buying TLT

The speaker suggests that the bond market may be undervalued, and thus, buying TLT could be a viable strategy. The speaker also notes that the bond market is not following the Fed's agenda, indicating that there may be opportunities for long positions in bonds. The speaker's reasoning is based on the current market behavior and the expectation that bond prices may eventually stabilize or rise.

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Strategybuying TLT
AssetETF
Time horizonnot explicitly stated
Entry / triggerwhen the bond market is perceived to be undervalued relative to other assets
Target / exitnot explicitly stated
Invalidation / stopnot explicitly stated
SpeakerBrian
Risks
  • Market volatility
  • Interest rate changes
  • Economic data shifts
longETFlongTLT
medium confidenceVerify in video at 05:36 ↗