7 matching records.
The speaker states that the probability of the SPY closing over 760 by September is 85%, with a note that the prediction engine may provide more detailed analysis.
The speaker changed the question from closing above 315 to 320, and stated a 70% chance of closing above 320 by Friday.
The prediction engine has a 75% likelihood of accuracy in certain scenarios, based on historical data and beta correlations. The speaker acknowledges that the accuracy is not guaranteed and depends on market conditions.
Crude oil is expected to trade in the low 80s by the end of July, with current prices at 88. Both Tony and Ron agree on this outlook.
It helps predict direction or simply tells you about volatility and the risk of exaggerated moves.
The speaker and another individual have a short position on Micron (MU) and are discussing the probability of MU trading at $600 by the end of June. The speaker notes that statistically, the probability is likely zero, but they are using the platform to explore the prediction.
The speaker predicts an 80% probability that Bitcoin will make a new high by the end of 2027, based on aggregated data from various sources. The prediction is part of a broader analysis that includes crypto exchanges, newsletters, and prediction marketplaces.