Trade idea
Trade idea Iron fly spread
A trader can profit from a quick market movement with a properly structured iron fly spread.
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StrategyIron fly spread
Entry / triggerMarket moved in favor
Target / exitProfit from market movement
SpeakerUnknown
Risks- Market moving against the trade
Trade idea
ZB sell September 104 put and 112 call
rangebound
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Strategysell September 104 put and 112 call
Assetfutures
ExpirationSeptember
Time horizonimmediate
Entry / triggertoday
Target / exit41 ticks ($640)
Invalidation / stopoutside the expected move
SpeakerTom
Structure / legs- September 104 put
- September 112 call
Trade idea
Trade idea short strangle
Close the position quickly to secure profit
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Strategyshort strangle
Time horizon5 days
Entry / triggerput it on with a 50% max profit within 5 days
Target / exit5 days
Trade idea
Trade idea short put spread
the trader should consider a short put spread strategy with defined risk
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Strategyshort put spread
Time horizonweekly
Entry / triggerif the trader is looking to lean a little bit long
Speakerunknown
Trade idea
Trade idea sell a call spread
the more things you do, the more you figure out what you like
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Strategysell a call spread
Assetstock
Time horizon3 months
Entry / triggeron two different stocks
Target / exitsmall trade often
Invalidation / stopif the trade doesn't work within 3 months
SpeakerTom Sausnoff
Trade idea
Trade idea contrarian sentiment analysis
contrarian logic suggests a sell signal when investors are extremely bullish and heavily positioned
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Strategycontrarian sentiment analysis
Time horizonbefore the market turn
Entry / triggerextreme bullish sentiment and heavy positioning
Speakerspeaker
Risks- difficulty in timing the market turn
- potential for false signals
Trade idea
Trade idea
It's too hard to jump on after the market reaches extreme highs, so one should be positioned before.
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Entry / triggerbeing positioned before the market reaches extreme highs
SpeakerSpeaker
Trade idea
Trade idea short put
selling an S&P 12 delta short put
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Strategyshort put
Assetindex
Entry / triggerwhen the market is at a certain level
SpeakerTom Snoff
Trade idea
Trade idea calendar spreads
calendar spreads are avoided due to their slow movement and pricing to perfection
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Strategycalendar spreads
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerwhen the stock beats the trader
Target / exitquick profits within 10-20 seconds
Invalidation / stopslow movement and pricing to perfection
Speakerspeaker
Risks- low probability of quick returns
- difficulty in making back the cost
Trade idea
Trade idea
Apple may drop to between 300 and 306.
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Entry / triggerI think Apple around 303 or between 303 and 300. It's 306 right now. I could easily see it dropping to between 300 and 306.
Target / exitBetween 300 and 306
SpeakerTom Safon Batista
Q&A
Diversification across sectors is supposed to reduce risk, but correlations between sectors tend to rise sharply during market crisis. Exactly when diversification matters most. Does that mean traditional sector diversification is largely a calm market strategy that becomes less effective when you actually need it?
Traditional sector diversification is largely a calm market strategy that becomes less effective when you actually need it.
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Actionable takeawayTraditional sector diversification may not be effective during market crises when correlations rise sharply.
Q&A
What buttons were being pushed that you accidentally bought an at the money call instead of selling it while setting up an NDX iron fly?
The trader accidentally bought an at the money call instead of selling it as part of an iron fly spread, which involved selling the guts and buying the two out of the money options.
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Actionable takeawayAccidental trades can occur during setup, highlighting the need for careful execution.
Q&A
When you diversify with positions in different products like commodities, futures, metals, currency trades, what about that?
Diversification across different products is recommended to manage risk. It's important not to be all in on a single asset or strategy, as this increases unnecessary risk. Having a mix of long equities, short premium, and other instruments can help spread risk. The key is to maintain reasonable trade sizes relative to your account size.
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Actionable takeawayDiversify across different products and maintain reasonable trade sizes to manage risk effectively.
Q&A
Is relying on these ETFs for our primary income a reasonable strategy or is there more risk to the principle than the yield suggests?
It's a sound market strategy if the market cooperates, but there are risks such as market movement, fees, and the use of margin. It's not guaranteed and may not be suitable for all account sizes.
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Actionable takeawayConsider the risks of market movement and fees, and avoid using margin if possible.
Q&A
Is it better to keep the unused capital in something secure like treasuries or should I passively invest in something like SPY or QQQ for historically higher returns?
The speaker suggests keeping unused capital in secure assets like treasuries or equivalents (BIL/ESG) rather than passively investing in SPY or QQQ, especially at all-time highs. They mention that while SPY and QQQ may offer higher returns, the current market conditions and risks make them less advisable at this time.
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Actionable takeawayAvoid passive investing in SPY or QQQ at current market highs; prefer secure assets like treasuries for unused capital.
Q&A
Are these firms becoming more vertically integrated controlling both the capital and the computational tools? And do you think that could meaningfully change how markets work?
The speaker suggests that firms like Jane Street and others are moving from public to private debt to gain flexibility, speed, and access to capital. They are investing heavily in AI and computing infrastructure, which could lead to vertical integration. This shift might change how markets operate by allowing these firms to control both capital and computational tools, potentially altering market dynamics.
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Actionable takeawayFirms are shifting to private capital and investing in AI infrastructure, which may lead to vertical integration and changes in market operations.
Q&A
Does IVR really matter?
IVR (Implied Volatility Ratio) doesn't matter for a covered call strategy on existing stock holdings because the focus is on the direction of the stock. However, higher IVR can lead to higher premiums, which is a benefit.
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Actionable takeawayFor covered calls on existing stock holdings, focus on the stock's direction rather than IVR. Higher IVR can result in higher premiums.
Q&A
What parameters would you recommend for pre-market and postmarket scans? And how would those differ from the ones you'd use for trading day?
The speaker suggests looking for big movers and using a percentage threshold like 2%, 3%, or 5% to identify stocks moving significantly. They also mention that pre and postmarket scans should focus on big movers, while trading day strategies involve looking at futures and intraday movements.
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Actionable takeawayUse percentage thresholds (e.g., 2%, 3%, 5%) to identify significant stock movements in pre and postmarket scans, focusing on big movers.
Q&A
What is the best startup business advice you can give to a first-time founder builder?
The best startup business advice includes taking the first step, trusting your instincts, being flexible, staying true to yourself, surrounding yourself with confident people, and squeezing every dollar of raised capital as hard as possible. It also emphasizes the importance of having a clear runway and being prepared to raise outside capital when needed.
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Actionable takeawayTrust your instincts, be flexible, and prioritize efficient use of capital.
Q&A
Will Nvidia be the most valuable company by the end of 2028?
The speaker is unsure and says 'Sure, why not?' but leans towards Apple, suggesting that no one would say yes.
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Actionable takeawayThe speaker is uncertain about Nvidia's future valuation and suggests that Apple might be a better bet.
Q&A
Do you remember what you paid for your first place that you ever bought?
The speaker paid $125,000 for a two-bedroom condo in Newberg Plaza in 1986 or 1988.
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Actionable takeawayThe speaker's personal experience with real estate prices provides context for discussing current market trends.
Q&A
Do I close it or hold it to 21 days?
Close it quickly to secure profit
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Actionable takeawayClose the position quickly to secure profit
Q&A
Is there a consistent like 45 BTE strategy you guys could recommend that I could repeat?
The speaker recommends a short put spread strategy with defined risk, suggesting it as a way to lean a little bit long. They also mention the importance of being selective due to low volatility and suggest keeping contracts small.
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Actionable takeawayConsider a short put spread strategy with defined risk, especially in a low volatility environment.
Q&A
What are specific scenarios where the market rallies such as quadri quad witching Canadian holidays?
It's all coincidence unless you're looking at Cuban holidays. The speaker rules out Canadian holidays, Christmas rallies, and suggests it's a seasonality thing.
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Actionable takeawayMarket rallies around holidays are likely coincidental and not a reliable strategy.
Q&A
Is that like a chicken version of Portillos?
Yes, it's described as a chicken version of Portillos, with a similar business model focusing on chicken tenders.
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Actionable takeawayThe speaker compares Raising Canes to Portillos, highlighting its focus on chicken tenders and a similar business model.
Q&A
Do you think this is a market where you have to have the position on or do you think this is a market where you can put that position on once you see something starting to turn?
The speaker believes there is always time to put the position on and does not think one has to be early. However, they emphasize the importance of being in before the turn when selling the market, as the velocity of the turn is fast.
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Actionable takeawayIt is better to be in the market before a potential downturn, as the velocity of the turn can make it difficult to jump in afterwards.
Q&A
What is the practical question regarding risk?
The practical question is less about whether to sell everything and more about how much risk you're willing to take if you're a passive long.
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Actionable takeawayThe practical question is about risk tolerance in a passive long position.
Q&A
When SpaceX was trading at like in the 170 range, I I sold some puts. Okay. you know, at 155
The speaker sold puts at 155 when SpaceX was trading at 170, but the stock dropped significantly, leading to losses. The speaker had to roll the puts out and eventually recovered some of the losses.
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Actionable takeawayWhen selling puts, it's important to consider the expected move and not get too close to the money.
Q&A
Give me the strategies that you avoid without looking at my list.
The speaker avoids trading VIX naked calls, calendar spreads, and selling calls due to market conditions and strategy preferences.
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Actionable takeawayAvoid strategies that are low probability and slow moving, such as calendar spreads.
Q&A
Do you use regular hours or global hours when you trade XSP or XPS? Any pros or cons of selecting global hours that we should be aware of?
Regular hours are recommended as markets are good, while global hours have wider spreads and lower liquidity. Markets like SPX, XSP, ES are better during regular hours, while crude oil, gold, and silver can be traded 24 hours with some liquidity.
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Actionable takeawayRegular hours are preferable for trading SPX, XSP, and ES due to better liquidity and narrower spreads. Global hours are less favorable due to wider spreads and lower liquidity, except for specific markets like crude oil, gold, and silver.
Q&A
What do you think's cheap here?
I think the rotation boys will jump into Apple.
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Actionable takeawayThe speaker suggests that Apple may be a target for rotation boys due to sector flow.