LD Lossdog Research
Symbol timeline

NKE

12 source-linked records across the archive.

Trade idea

NKE Contrarian Play

The speaker sold puts on Nike (NKE) at $2 in May, anticipating a further decline from its 52-week low of $45. The rationale is that the stock may continue to drop before a potential rebound, making the puts a viable option for profiting from the decline. The strategy relies on the assumption that the stock will continue to fall, which is a contrarian approach based on the stock's recent performance and market sentiment.

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StrategyContrarian Play
AssetEquity
ExpirationMay
Time horizonShort-term, with a focus on the immediate decline
Entry / triggerStock price at $45
Target / exitPotential profit from further decline
Invalidation / stopIf the stock rebounds immediately or shows signs of stabilization
SpeakerThe speaker
Structure / legs
  • Puts with strike price of $45
  • Expiry: May
Risks
  • The stock may rebound immediately, leading to a loss on the put position
  • Market volatility could affect the stock's trajectory
Trade idea

Nike put spread

profit from downside risk if stock remains below strike price

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Strategyput spread
Assetstock
ExpirationSeptember
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerstock at multi-year low
Target / exitsell at a dollar
Invalidation / stopstock price movement
SpeakerVinnie
Structure / legs
  • 372 puts
Risks
  • stock price rises
  • volatility changes
Trade idea

Nike Put

The speaker is short the 40 puts in Nike, expecting the stock to remain range-bound. The trade is considered a small loser until today, but the speaker likes the play due to the implied volatility and the potential for a break-even or small loss. The trade is a short-term play with limited risk.

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StrategyPut
AssetEquity
ExpirationJuly
Time horizonShort-term
Entry / triggerStock has been range-bound for months
Target / exitBreak-even or small loss
Invalidation / stopSignificant upward movement
SpeakerScott
Structure / legs
  • 40 puts in July
Risks
  • Significant upward movement could lead to losses
  • Liquidity issues in the options market
Trade idea

NKE selling puts

The speaker discusses selling puts on Nike (NKE) with the intention of profiting from a potential rise in the stock price. The trade was initiated at a price of $43, with the puts sold at $2. The speaker acknowledges that the stock price dropped, resulting in a loss, and suggests that waiting for a better entry point might have been more effective. The thesis is that selling puts can be a viable strategy if the trader is confident in the stock's ability to rise above the strike price before expiration.

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Strategyselling puts
Assetequity
Expiration43 days
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerstock price at 43
Target / exitstock price at 45
Invalidation / stopstock price drops below 43
SpeakerSpeaker
Structure / legs
  • 45 puts
Risks
  • Market volatility
  • Stock price drops below the strike price
  • Liquidity issues
Trade idea

NKE Put

The speaker is selling June 40 puts in Nike (NKE) as a trade idea. The stock is near its support level, and the speaker believes it will rebound. The put is priced at $1.12, with a 70% probability of success and an expected move of $3. The trade is based on the idea that the stock is on its butt and is likely to rebound.

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StrategyPut
AssetEquity
ExpirationJune
Time horizonShort-term
Entry / triggerStock price near support level
Target / exitPotential upside if stock rebounds
Invalidation / stopLoss if stock continues to decline below support level
SpeakerScott
Structure / legs
  • June 40 puts
Risks
  • Potential for large losses if the stock continues to decline
  • Market volatility could affect the outcome
Trade idea

NKE put selling

The speaker suggests that the Nike trade is a cheap put to sell, but it requires a down tick in the stock. They also mention that the Vix not up-ticking could be a signal to pause short-side actions. This trade idea is based on the current market conditions and the speaker's analysis of the Vix and Nasdaq movements.

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Strategyput selling
Assetequity
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerdown tick in the stock
Invalidation / stopif the Vix doesn't up-tick at all
SpeakerSpeaker
Risks
  • Market volatility
  • Failure to execute the down tick
  • Potential for increased market downturn
Trade idea

NKE selling puts

The speaker suggests selling puts as a strategy for earnings, leaning bullish or omnishirectional. This approach is suitable when volatility is cheap, and the stock feels like it's trading cheap, even if it's not technically cheap. The rationale is that selling puts can generate income while being long the stock, and the expected move is limited. The trade requires monitoring the stock's performance and adjusting as needed.

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Strategyselling puts
Assetequity
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerwhen volatility is cheap and earnings are expected to be positive
Target / exitprofit from the put sale if the stock trades above the strike price
Invalidation / stopif the stock drops below the strike price, the trade may need to be adjusted or closed
SpeakerArthur
Risks
  • If the stock drops below the strike price, the trade may result in a loss
  • Volatility could increase, affecting the price of the put
Trade idea

Nike put selling

The speaker suggests selling the 38 puts on Nike, assuming the stock is priced around $41.50. The expected move is estimated at $3.50, and the trade is considered a marginal play due to the limited premium. The speaker also mentions considering a vertical spread by buying the 41 call and selling the 42.5 call as an alternative strategy. The trade is based on the assumption that Nike is undervalued and the market is bullish, making it a short-term strangle strategy.

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Strategyput selling
Assetequity
Expirationweekly
Time horizon2 days
Entry / triggerstock price at $41.50
Target / exit38 strike price
Invalidation / stopif the stock price drops below $38, the trade is invalid
SpeakerSpeaker
Structure / legs
  • 38 puts
Risks
  • Potential loss if the stock price drops significantly
  • Limited premium may not justify the risk
  • Market volatility could affect the trade outcome
Trade idea

NKE earnings trade

The speaker suggests that earnings trades are more profitable when volatility is higher and there is a decent IVR (Implied Volatility Ratio). This implies that traders should look for opportunities during periods of increased market volatility, particularly around earnings announcements, as these can provide more significant price movements and thus better trading opportunities.

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Strategyearnings trade
Assetequity
Expirationshort-term
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggeraround earnings announcements
Target / exitnot specified
Invalidation / stopnot specified
SpeakerTony
Risks
  • Market conditions can change rapidly
  • Volatility may not materialize as expected
Trade idea

NKE call spread

The speaker suggests that a call spread or directional trade on Nike (NKE) could be a viable strategy when volatility is low. However, they caution that this is a 'cheap shot' and not a reliable strategy for long-term success. The trade requires a strong directional conviction and is not recommended for all traders.

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Strategycall spread
Assetequity
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggervolatility is low
Target / exitdirectional move
Invalidation / stopif the stock moves against the trade
Speakerunknown
Structure / legs
  • call spread
Risks
  • loss if the stock moves against the trade
  • requires precise timing and directional conviction
Q&A

What is the current price of Nike?

The current price of Nike is $45, which is a 52-week low.

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Actionable takeawayNike is currently trading at $45, which is a significant drop from its previous price of $70.
Q&A

At what point does a stock that has been beat down for so long become a reason to sell puts rather than just trying to catch a falling knife?

The speaker suggests selling puts on stocks like Nike, Uber, Micron, and others, arguing that selling puts is a better strategy than trying to catch a falling knife. They emphasize that selling puts can be a way to profit from volatility and avoid the risk of buying a stock that might continue to decline.

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Actionable takeawaySell puts on beaten-down stocks to profit from volatility rather than trying to catch a falling knife.