LD Lossdog Research
topic

Micron

13 matching records.

Trade idea

Micron buying at a low price with a long-term horizon

The speaker discusses their experience with Micron stock, where they bought it at a low price and held it for a long time, eventually seeing significant appreciation. The trade idea is to identify undervalued stocks and hold them for a long period, allowing for potential appreciation. The risk is that the stock may continue to decline, leading to losses if the trader is unable to recover. The thesis is based on the idea that patience and long-term holding can lead to significant gains, as demonstrated by the speaker's experience.

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Strategybuying at a low price with a long-term horizon
Assetstock
Time horizonlong-term
Entry / triggerbuying at a low price when the stock is undervalued
Target / exitsignificant appreciation over time
Invalidation / stoploss if the stock continues to decline and the trader is unable to recover
Speakerspeaker
Risks
  • market risk
  • liquidity risk
  • time risk
Trade idea

Micron Buy Micron later in the day

The speaker suggests that Micron is a product of the day and that most traders will be trading it later in the day. This indicates a potential short-term bullish outlook on Micron, possibly due to positive news or market sentiment. The trade idea is based on the speaker's recommendation to trade Micron, suggesting a long position.

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StrategyBuy Micron later in the day
Assetequity
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerLater in the day
SpeakerSpeaker
Risks
  • Market volatility
  • Unfavorable news
  • Liquidity issues
Trade idea

Micron shorting Micron

The speaker shorted Micron at lower prices, expecting a move of $41 for the week. However, the move was larger than expected at $45, leading to a loss. The speaker acknowledges that the trade was not good and that the puts bought for $25 may not be effective unless the sell-off is significant. The trade is considered a short-term play with a high risk of market reversal.

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Strategyshorting Micron
Assetequity
Time horizonweek
Entry / triggershort Micron at lower prices
Target / exitexpected move of $41 for the week
Invalidation / stopif the sell-off is minor, the puts may be 'killed'
Speakerspeaker
Risks
  • market reversal
  • unexpected price movement
  • limited upside potential
Trade idea

MICRON buy the dip

The speaker discusses the concept of 'buying the dip' as a strategy, emphasizing that it has historically worked over the past 16 years with snapback rallies following selloffs. However, the speaker warns that this strategy may not be effective during a significant market pullback, suggesting that it's not a guaranteed solution. The speaker also mentions that they would not buy MICRON at 880 or 550, indicating that the strategy is not currently applicable for this specific stock.

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Strategybuy the dip
Assetequity
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerwhen the price is oversold
Target / exitnot specified
Invalidation / stopnot specified
Speakerspeaker
Risks
  • Market pullbacks may not result in snapback rallies
  • Oversold conditions may not lead to immediate price recovery
Trade idea

MICRON short calls

The speaker is short calls on Micron, expecting the stock to rally but not exceed $555. The trade is based on the belief that the stock has already rallied significantly and that further gains are unlikely. The speaker acknowledges the risk of being 'killed' but remains confident in the trade despite past losses.

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Strategyshort calls
Assetequity
Expiration3 days
Time horizon3 days
Entry / triggerMicron earnings after close
Target / exitstrike price of $555
Invalidation / stopif the stock rallies above $555
SpeakerThe speaker
Structure / legs
  • 3-day calls at $555 strike
  • two and a half times the expected move
Risks
  • The stock could rally beyond the expected move
  • Earnings could surprise positively, leading to higher prices
  • Market volatility could impact the trade
Trade idea

MICRON scalping

Scalping Micron (MICRON) is viable if the daily expected move is $30. A target of $3 (10% of the expected move) is reasonable. The trade should be exited if the move exceeds expectations or if the market moves against the position. This approach leverages tight market conditions and high liquidity, with no commissions to enhance profitability.

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Strategyscalping
Assetstock
Time horizonshort-term (minutes to hours)
Entry / triggerDaily expected move is $30
Target / exit$3
Invalidation / stopIf the daily expected move is exceeded or the trade goes against the expected direction
SpeakerUnknown
Risks
  • Market volatility
  • Execution risk
  • Liquidity risk after hours
Trade idea

Micron Scalping

Micron's expected move of $30 requires a stop-loss at a percentage of that move. Scalping strategies should focus on a small universe of stocks with which the trader is comfortable. The trader should avoid doubling down or taking positions home, as this increases risk. The expected move should be used to determine the target and stop-loss levels, ensuring disciplined execution.

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StrategyScalping
AssetEquity
Time horizonIntraday
Entry / triggerWhen the stock is expected to move $30, with a stop-loss set at a percentage of the expected move.
Target / exitA percentage of the expected move, which varies per stock.
Invalidation / stopStop-loss at a percentage of the expected move to limit losses.
SpeakerSpeaker
Risks
  • Market volatility
  • Stop-loss triggered prematurely
  • Inability to execute trades quickly
Q&A

Considering shorting Micron if it rallies. And what are the lessons learned?

The lessons learned are that the speaker did not trade it too big, and it just had such an incredible move.

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Actionable takeawayThe speaker did not trade Micron too big and kept the position, which went much further than expected.
Q&A

Did you trade any Russell?

The speaker did not trade any Russell. They mentioned trading NASDAQ and S&Ps, being long gold, short silver, and short micron. They also mentioned buying Netflix premarket and selling it out.

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Actionable takeawayThe speaker's trading activity includes specific indices and commodities, with a focus on short positions in certain assets.
Q&A

What was the price of Micron this morning?

Micron traded at 810 this morning, up from 710 the previous day.

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Actionable takeawayMicron's price movement indicates volatility in the market.
Q&A

At what point does a stock that has been beat down for so long become a reason to sell puts rather than just trying to catch a falling knife?

The speaker suggests selling puts on stocks like Nike, Uber, Micron, and others, arguing that selling puts is a better strategy than trying to catch a falling knife. They emphasize that selling puts can be a way to profit from volatility and avoid the risk of buying a stock that might continue to decline.

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Actionable takeawaySell puts on beaten-down stocks to profit from volatility rather than trying to catch a falling knife.
Q&A

What is the expected move for Micron this week?

The expected move for Micron this week is $41, but the actual move was $45, which was larger than anticipated.

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Actionable takeawayThe expected move for Micron was $41, but the actual move was $45, indicating a higher-than-anticipated price movement.
Q&A

What is the expected move for Micron?

The expected move for Micron is $30.

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Actionable takeawayTraders should consider the expected move when setting stop-loss and target levels for scalping.