LD Lossdog Research
direction

bearish

5 matching records.

Trade idea

SPACEX volatility trade

The trade involves buying 50 puts for June 2027, which are trading at around $1.75. The strategy is based on the assumption that if SpaceX's stock price decreases, the puts will increase in value. The maximum return is 14.5% over a year, and the trade is considered a volatility play. The risk is managed by the limited cost of the puts and the potential for a high return if the stock moves lower.

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Strategyvolatility trade
Assetstock
ExpirationJune 2027
Time horizonone year
Entry / triggervolatility is high
Target / exit14.5% return in one year
Invalidation / stopif volatility decreases or the stock moves against the trade
SpeakerTom
Structure / legs
  • 50 puts
Risks
  • Volatility may decrease
  • Stock price may not move as expected
  • Market conditions may change
bearishEquitybearishvolatility trade
high confidenceVerify in video at 37:56 ↗
Trade idea

Trade idea Call spread

The speaker suggests a bearish strategy involving a $5 call spread for 450 and a put spread for 50 cents. The strategy is based on the idea that if the product doesn't move, the put spread would be worthless but the call spread would be worthless as well. The speaker also mentions that the put spread is more beneficial to sell, but the call spread is bought. The thesis is that the strategy is based on the assumption that the product will move in a certain direction, and the spread will be profitable if the product moves in that direction.

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StrategyCall spread
Time horizonAt expiration
Entry / triggerAt the money
Invalidation / stopIf the product doesn't move, the put spread would be worthless but the call spread would be worthless as well
SpeakerMark
Structure / legs
  • Buy a $5 call spread for 450
  • Buy a put spread for 50 cents
Risks
  • If the product doesn't move, the put spread would be worthless but the call spread would be worthless as well
  • The strategy is based on the assumption that the product will move in a certain direction, which may not always be the case
bearishbearishcall spread
medium confidenceVerify in video at 41:47 ↗
Trade idea

AAPL put diagonal

bearish on Apple

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Strategyput diagonal
Assetequity
ExpirationAugust 21st
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerstock price lower
Target / exitrisk one to make one
Invalidation / stopvolatility collapse in front month
SpeakerTony
Structure / legs
  • August 21st 320 put
  • August 3rd 310 put
Risks
  • volatility collapse
  • unexpected stock movement
bearishequitybearishAAPLshort-term
high confidenceVerify in video at 38:44 ↗
Trade idea

SPX put credit spread

The speaker suggests that selling put credit spreads can be a viable strategy when the market is trending up, as the put spreads are cheaper and the market is less likely to crash upwards. However, the speaker also notes that the market can drop significantly in a short period, which could lead to losses. The thesis is based on the idea that the market's skew pricing reflects the risk of downside moves, making put spreads a more attractive option for bearish scenarios.

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Strategyput credit spread
Assetindex
Expirationnot specified
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggermarket trending up
Target / exitpremium collected
Invalidation / stopmarket reversal or significant upside move
SpeakerMichael
Structure / legs
  • 20 delta put
  • 25 delta put
Risks
  • Market reversal
  • Significant upside move
  • Liquidity issues
bearishindexbearishSPXshort-term
medium confidenceVerify in video at 05:08 ↗
Trade idea

Q's Out of the Money Call Spread

The Q's ETF has a high implied volatility rank (72%), indicating potential for significant price movements. A bearish trader can profit from a call spread by buying a call at $80 and selling a call at $85, capitalizing on the ETF's volatility. The strategy is suitable for a slightly bearish outlook, with a target of 50% of the premium. The risk is limited to the cost of the long call, and the trade should be closed if the market moves significantly higher.

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StrategyOut of the Money Call Spread
AssetETF
ExpirationNot specified
Time horizonShort-term
Entry / triggerMarket is bearish
Target / exitMax profit of 50% of the premium
Invalidation / stopMarket moves significantly higher
SpeakerSpeaker
Structure / legs
  • Buy a call at $80
  • Sell a call at $85
Risks
  • Market moves higher than expected
  • Volatility decreases
  • Liquidity issues
BearishETFbearishshort-term
high confidenceVerify in video at 17:28 ↗