LD Lossdog Research
strategy

volatility trade

4 matching records.

Trade idea

SPACEX volatility trade

The trade involves buying 50 puts for June 2027, which are trading at around $1.75. The strategy is based on the assumption that if SpaceX's stock price decreases, the puts will increase in value. The maximum return is 14.5% over a year, and the trade is considered a volatility play. The risk is managed by the limited cost of the puts and the potential for a high return if the stock moves lower.

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Strategyvolatility trade
Assetstock
ExpirationJune 2027
Time horizonone year
Entry / triggervolatility is high
Target / exit14.5% return in one year
Invalidation / stopif volatility decreases or the stock moves against the trade
SpeakerTom
Structure / legs
  • 50 puts
Risks
  • Volatility may decrease
  • Stock price may not move as expected
  • Market conditions may change
bearishEquitybearishvolatility trade
high confidenceVerify in video at 37:56 ↗
Trade idea

IBIT volatility trade

The trade involves selling a put option on the IBIT ETF, which is expected to have a 10% return over 50 days. The expected move is 450, and the trade is considered a 70% annualized return. The trade requires an initial investment of around $800, with a 80% probability of success and a 91% P50. The trade is based on the assumption that the price will remain within the expected range.

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Strategyvolatility trade
AssetETF
ExpirationAugust
Time horizon50 days
Entry / triggerIBIT trading around $36
Target / exit450
Invalidation / stopif the price moves outside the expected range
SpeakerScott
Structure / legs
  • sell put for 75 cents
Risks
  • significant losses if the price moves outside the expected range
  • market volatility may affect the outcome
sell putETFvolatility tradeIBIT50 days
medium confidenceVerify in video at 22:16 ↗
Trade idea

SPX volatility trade

The speaker is short puts at the 100 level, anticipating a decline in volatility. The expected move by August expiration is 38 bucks, with the speaker adjusting their view to 37 bucks. The trade is based on the assumption that the stock will close lower than its current price, with the potential for a short-term decline. The risk is that the stock may close higher, invalidating the trade. The trade is structured as a volatility trade, leveraging the expected decrease in volatility.

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Strategyvolatility trade
Assetindex
ExpirationAugust
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggervolatility has been coming down a little
Target / exit38 bucks
Invalidation / stopif the stock closes higher than expected
Speakerspeaker
Structure / legs
  • puts at around the 100 level
Risks
  • The stock may close higher than expected, leading to a loss
  • Volatility may not decrease as expected
  • Market conditions may change, affecting the trade outcome
shortindexshortvolatility tradeSPXshort-term
medium confidenceVerify in video at 41:47 ↗
Trade idea

SPCX volatility trade

The speaker discusses a trade involving SPCX, where they sold a put at 145 and short calls at 260 and long calls at 265. The trade was executed with the expectation of a bullish market, and the speaker suggests that the calls could be adjusted to be closer to the money for better results. The trade was exited with a 1050 credit, and the speaker believes that the trade could be improved by adjusting the strike prices.

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Strategyvolatility trade
AssetETF
Expirationnot specified
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggermarket price at 150
Target / exit1050 credit
Invalidation / stopmarket price below 145 or above 265
SpeakerAnetta
Structure / legs
  • short put at 145
  • short call at 260
  • long call at 265
Risks
  • Market volatility could lead to losses if the price moves outside the expected range.
  • The trade involves complex options strategies that require careful risk management.
short putETFvolatility tradeshort-term
medium confidenceVerify in video at 1:04:14 ↗