topic

expected move

12 matching records.

Trade idea

ES expected_move

The speaker suggests that buying S&P's at the current level and setting a stop at the one standard deviation expected move is a consistent way to manage risk. The expected move for ES is $274, which is a 5% move. If the market does not break down this expected move, the trade should be cut bait. This approach is based on the idea that markets are cyclical and that trades can turn around, so it's important to have a clear stop-loss level to avoid emotional decisions.

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Strategyexpected_move

Assetindex

Time horizon35 days

Entry / triggerBuy S&P's here if the market breaks down the expected move (one standard deviation).

Target / exitThe expected move is $274, which is a 5% move.

Invalidation / stopIf the market does not break down the expected move, the trade is invalid and should be cut bait at the one standard deviation level.

SpeakerLost Dog

Risks

Market may not move as expected
Volatility may increase, making the stop-loss level less effective

longindex long ES 35 days expected move

high confidenceVerify in video at 42:02 ↗

Q&A

What is the expected move for the August 21st 8100 put spread in SpaceX?

The expected move for the August 21st 8100 put spread in SpaceX is $32, with the stock currently at $154. The trade has a 96% probability of profit and an annualized return of 30% plus.

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Actionable takeawayThe expected move for the August 21st 8100 put spread in SpaceX is $32, indicating a high probability of profit.

expected move Options

high confidenceVerify in video at 33:44 ↗

Q&A

What is the expected move for AMD in the iron condor trade?

The expected move for AMD in the iron condor trade is 103 points.

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Actionable takeawayThe expected move is a key factor in determining the break-even points for the iron condor trade.

AMD expected move

high confidenceVerify in video at 24:19 ↗

Q&A

What is the expected move for MEES?

The expected move for MEES is approximately 50 handles or $250.

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Actionable takeawayUnderstanding the expected move helps in setting realistic profit targets and managing risk effectively.

MEES expected move futures trading

high confidenceVerify in video at 1:20:21 ↗

Q&A

What is the expected move for the July 70 puts on Robin Hood?

The expected move for the July 70 puts on Robin Hood is $13.

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Actionable takeawayTraders should consider the expected move when evaluating the potential profitability of the trade.

HOOD expected move Options

high confidenceVerify in video at 26:12 ↗

Q&A

What are your parameters and benchmarks for taking profits when you go long or short a stock?

The speaker suggests looking at the expected move of a stock over a specific period (30-50 days), then setting a target at 25% or 50% of that expected move. They emphasize that this should be less than the expected move and serve as a target, not a hard stop.

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Actionable takeawaySet profit targets based on expected stock movement, typically 25-50% of the projected move over a defined period.

expected move profit taking Trading Strategy

high confidenceVerify in video at 11:05 ↗

Q&A

What is the expected move for the SPX trade?

The expected move for the SPX trade is $330, which is the EM (expected move) mentioned in the transcript.

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Actionable takeawayThe expected move is a key factor in determining the potential profitability of the trade.

SPX expected move Options

high confidenceVerify in video at 28:56 ↗

Q&A

What is the expected move for Amazon over 52 days?

The expected move for Amazon over 52 days is approximately 10%, or about $26.

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Actionable takeawayTraders should consider the expected move when deciding between buying shares outright or selling a put.

AMZN expected move volatility

high confidenceVerify in video at 12:20 ↗

Q&A

What was the expected move for the stock?

The expected move for the stock was initially thought to be around $12, but it fluctuated, ending at $12 again. The speaker noted that the stock did not move significantly, which affected the effectiveness of the premium selling strategy.

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Actionable takeawayThe expected move is a critical factor in premium selling strategies, and its accuracy is essential for the success of such trades.

premium selling NVDA expected move

high confidenceVerify in video at 00:42 ↗

Q&A