LD Lossdog Research
symbol

ORCL

8 matching records.

Trade idea

ORCL puts

short puts can be profitable if the stock rises

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Strategyputs
Assetequity
ExpirationSeptember
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerOracle's stock price is lower than the strike price
Target / exitprofit from the stock rising
Invalidation / stopif the stock falls below the strike price
Speakerunknown
Structure / legs
  • sell 90 put
  • sell 85 put
Risks
  • if the stock falls below the strike price
Trade idea

ORCL call spread

The speaker proposed a call spread strategy for Oracle (ORCL) with a strike range of 280 to 320, expecting a price move of $25. The trade was structured to avoid naked shorting by using a spread, which reduces capital requirements and risk. The expected move was based on historical earnings performance and the current stock price of 211. The trade was considered a balanced approach to capitalize on potential price increases while limiting risk.

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Strategycall spread
Assetequity
ExpirationJuly
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerOracle stock at 211
Target / exit280
Invalidation / stopOracle stock price exceeding 320
SpeakerSpeaker
Structure / legs
  • 280 call
  • 320 call
Risks
  • Oracle's stock price could exceed the upper strike price, leading to losses
  • Market volatility could affect the expected price movement
  • The trade requires careful monitoring to ensure the spread remains effective
Trade idea

ORCL buying on a pullback

The speaker believes that Oracle (ORCL) has reached a point where it may capitulate, and thus it is a good buy. The speaker's reasoning is based on the belief that the stock has been undervalued and that it may be a good opportunity to buy on a pullback.

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Strategybuying on a pullback
Assetstock
Time horizonNot explicitly stated, but the speaker suggests the trade may be short-term.
Entry / triggerThe speaker bought Oracle (ORCL) this morning due to its perceived undervaluation.
Target / exitNot explicitly stated, but the speaker believes the stock has reached a point where it may capitulate.
Invalidation / stopThe speaker does not specify a stop-loss or invalidation level.
SpeakerThe speaker
Risks
  • The stock may not perform as expected.
  • The market may continue to decline, leading to further losses.
Trade idea

ORCL put selling

The speaker is short put options on Oracle (ORCL) with the expectation that the stock will not fall below the strike prices of the puts. The speaker expresses a contrarian view, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued despite a significant drop over six months. The trade is based on the belief that the stock will not decline further, and the put options are sold at a premium to profit from the time decay and the potential for the stock to remain above the strike prices.

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Strategyput selling
Assetequity
ExpirationMarch and April
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerOracle (ORCL) price at $1.31
Target / exit75 cents
Invalidation / stopOracle price rising above $1.31
SpeakerSpeaker
Structure / legs
  • short 125 puts (March, 3 days to expiration)
  • short 135 puts (April, 3 days to expiration)
Risks
  • Oracle's price could fall below the strike prices, resulting in losses
  • Market volatility could cause unexpected price movements
  • Time decay may not be sufficient to offset potential losses if the stock declines
Trade idea

ORCL short straddle

The speaker sold the 280 puts and 275 puts in Oracle, indicating a short straddle strategy. This suggests a belief in low volatility, as the strategy profits from a range-bound market. The speaker's action implies a short-term trade with a focus on market volatility, but the exact entry, target, and invalidation levels are not specified.

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Strategyshort straddle
Assetequity
Expirationunknown
Time horizonunknown
Entry / triggermarket volatility
Target / exitunknown
Invalidation / stopunknown
Speakerunknown
Structure / legs
  • 280 puts
  • 275 puts
Risks
  • volatility increase
  • market movement beyond expected range
Q&A

What is your theory about Microsoft and the Oracles, the software side? Are they going to get eaten up by the AI move or is Microsoft just as solid as they ever been?

The speaker suggests that Microsoft is too big to fail and that there is not a lot of risk in Microsoft. However, they acknowledge that Oracle has been heavily impacted by the AI move and has taken a larger hit than Microsoft. The speaker is not certain about the future performance of either company but feels that both are in reasonable positions given their recent declines.

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Actionable takeawayBoth Microsoft and Oracle have been impacted by the AI move, but Microsoft is considered more stable. The speaker is not certain about their future performance but believes both are in reasonable positions.
Q&A

What are we doing in Oracle in earnings? Get long after it got cut in half over 6 months?

The speaker suggests getting long Oracle (ORCL) after it has been cut in half over six months, indicating a potential contrarian opportunity. The speaker is short put options on Oracle, expecting the stock to not fall below the strike prices.

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Actionable takeawayThe speaker is taking a contrarian position in Oracle, expecting a potential rebound after a significant drop.
Q&A

Is selling puts in Microsoft and Oracle a smart strategy?

The speaker acknowledges that selling puts in Microsoft and Oracle is a strategy that can capture a portion of the premium, but the effectiveness depends on market conditions. The speaker suggests that the trade should be flexible and adjusted based on market movements, rather than being a binary outcome.

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Actionable takeawaySelling puts in Microsoft and Oracle can be a viable strategy to capture premium, but it requires flexibility and adjustment based on market conditions.