LD Lossdog Research
strategy

put options

3 matching records.

Trade idea

Bonds put options

The speaker is considering buying put options on bonds if they fall below 113 handle, anticipating a potential rebound. The strategy is based on the belief that a break below 6,000 on the S&P 500 could trigger a flight to quality, pushing bond prices higher. The trade is positioned as a short-term opportunity with a defined risk and reward profile.

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Strategyput options
Assetfixed_income
ExpirationMay
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerBonds fall below 113 handle
Target / exitBonds rise to around 114 handle
Invalidation / stopIf bonds do not fall below 113 handle, the trade is invalid
SpeakerScott
Structure / legs
  • 112 puts in May
Risks
  • Market conditions may not support the anticipated rebound
  • Interest rate changes could impact bond prices
Trade idea

/GC put options

The speaker sold 3,500 puts on gold futures (/GC) with a 63-day expiration, expecting a 91% probability of profit based on the delta of 10. The trade was executed at $24 per contract, with a second tranche sold at $34. The speaker believes the trade is viable due to the mathematical relationship between delta and probability of profit, and the liquidity of the GC options compared to GLD.

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Strategyput options
Assetfutures
ExpirationAugust
Time horizon63 days
Entry / triggerGold trading around 4040-ish
Target / exitProfit from the probability of profit (91%)
Invalidation / stopIf gold significantly declines below the strike price
SpeakerSpeaker
Structure / legs
  • 63 days to expiration
  • 3,500 puts
Risks
  • Significant price movement in gold could result in losses
  • Time decay may reduce the probability of profit over time
  • Market volatility could affect the liquidity of the options
Trade idea

MSTR put options

The speaker proposes selling MSTR August 21 puts at $1.50, indicating a short position on the stock. The rationale is based on the current market conditions and the speaker's belief that the stock is overvalued. The trade idea is supported by the speaker's direct statement to sell the puts immediately.

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Strategyput options
Assetequity
ExpirationAugust 21
Time horizonimmediate
Entry / triggerAugust 21 puts are at $1.50
Target / exitsell at $1.50
Invalidation / stopMarket conditions or price movement beyond the strike price
SpeakerTom Sosnoff
Structure / legs
  • August 21, 45 puts at $1.50
Risks
  • Market volatility
  • Incorrect assessment of stock value
  • Liquidity issues in options market