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AI Stocks: Partners or Competitors? AI Earnings & Pink Shoes | 7.21 | One Lucky Dog LIVE!

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Trade ideas

Trade idea

Trade idea

A stock that has dropped 10-20% on the overall market may be a buy opportunity on an individual stock basis.

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Entry / triggerIf stocks get to a certain point that just has to keep going higher.
SpeakerScott
Trade idea

Trade idea short call verticals

short call verticals can be used to add income to a bullish portfolio

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Strategyshort call verticals
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerbullish on the underlying asset
Target / exitcapture premium while capping upside risk
Invalidation / stopif the underlying moves against the position
Speakerunknown
Risks
  • limited downside protection
  • capped upside potential
Trade idea

Trade idea covered call

the market has come back and forth, making it a great selling opportunity

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Strategycovered call
Assetoptions
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerwhen the market is in a two-sided market
Target / exitsell some stuff when the market is a great selling opportunity
Invalidation / stopif the market rallies back up again, sell them again
Speakerunknown
Risks
  • market rally
  • volatility changes
Trade idea

Trade idea selling premium

The speaker prefers trading NASDAQ futures or futures options to avoid single stock risk.

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Strategyselling premium
Assetfutures
Entry / triggershort NQ
SpeakerThe speaker
Risks
  • Single stock risk if short MOO
Trade idea

Trade idea covered calls

the market is expected to correct

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Strategycovered calls
Assetstock
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerif the market is expected to correct
Target / exitreduce delta to 50 or 70
Invalidation / stopif the market moves significantly against the position
Speakerunknown
Risks
  • loss of potential gains if the stock price rises significantly
Trade idea

AAPL put diagonal

bearish on Apple

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Strategyput diagonal
Assetequity
ExpirationAugust 21st
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerstock price lower
Target / exitrisk one to make one
Invalidation / stopvolatility collapse in front month
SpeakerTony
Structure / legs
  • August 21st 320 put
  • August 3rd 310 put
Risks
  • volatility collapse
  • unexpected stock movement
Trade idea

IVR strangle

strangle strategy with specific strike prices and expiration date

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Strategystrangle
Assetcurrency
ExpirationAugust 21st
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerstock's up today
Target / exitmax profit of $39
Invalidation / stopstock's movement
Speakerunknown
Structure / legs
  • 250 call
  • 90 put
Risks
  • stock's movement
  • market volatility
Trade idea

ES buying futures for trending markets

futures give the best bang for the buck

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Strategybuying futures for trending markets
Assetfutures
Time horizon3 months
Entry / triggerwhen markets start trending
Target / exit3-month time frame
Invalidation / stopif the market does not trend
Speakerunknown
Risks
  • carry cost
  • market reversal
Trade idea

Trade idea strangle or iron condor

A two-sided trade with no directional bias in UNH

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Strategystrangle or iron condor
Entry / triggerwhen the stock is at $431
Speakerspeaker
Risks
  • markets are wide
  • not easily tradable

Insights

Q&A

Q&A

How much lower do these stocks have to go?

Some of them are 10-20% off their highs. These high-flying stocks.

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Actionable takeawayStocks have dropped 10-20% from their highs, indicating potential buying opportunities.
Q&A

How do you think about adding short call verticals to a portfolio? What delta range would you typically set the short strike at?

The speaker suggests using a delta range around 30ish for the short strike and recommends a width of 20 to $30 for a $300 stock. They also mention that the strategy is suitable for a bullish portfolio.

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Actionable takeawayConsider using short call verticals with a delta range around 30ish for the short strike and a width of 20 to $30 for a $300 stock in a bullish portfolio.
Q&A

If you're trading off the news of rotation, shouldn't you be short dated?

You should be super careful because you don't know when the rotation is coming in and going out.

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Actionable takeawayBe cautious when trading off rotation news due to uncertainty in timing.
Q&A

How do you not let a windfall like that completely wreck your trading psychology?

Don't ever forget the luck factors out over time. Don't change your trading strategy regardless of what that strategy is.

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Actionable takeawayMaintain discipline and avoid changing your trading strategy even after a windfall.
Q&A

If you think the market's going lower, do you lower your strike to the new lower cost basis?

Research shows that adjusting the strike to a lower cost basis can provide more protection as the market moves down.

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Actionable takeawayAdjust strike prices to reflect the new cost basis when the market is expected to move lower.
Q&A

What is the reason for the change in the cost of SPX calendar trades?

The cost increase is due to the nature of calendar spreads in European-style options, where early exercise is not allowed, and the risk associated with these trades is tied to the premium paid for the calendar spread.

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Actionable takeawayThe cost of SPX calendar trades has increased due to the structure of European-style options, which do not allow early exercise, thereby affecting the risk and cost of these trades.
Q&A

Is it better to place the same trade across all margin accounts and size them based on net or diversify trades across them?

Diversification is recommended. The speaker suggests that if the trade goes well, all accounts will benefit, but if it goes bad, the pressure of managing multiple accounts can be overwhelming. The answer emphasizes that the same trade should be executed based on size, with appropriate sizing for each account.

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Actionable takeawayDiversify trades across accounts and size them appropriately based on net worth to manage risk and reduce pressure.
Q&A

Will Tesla report on a non-GAAP EPS above 55 cents for the current quarter in 2026? Is Tesla Thursday?

The speaker confirms that Tesla's report is on Thursday.

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Actionable takeawayTesla's financial report for the current quarter in 2026 is scheduled for Thursday.
Q&A

What is the trade idea for Apple?

Tony suggests a put diagonal strategy for Apple, buying the August 21st 320 put and selling the August 3rd 310 put, with a bearish outlook.

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Actionable takeawayA put diagonal strategy is suggested for Apple with a bearish outlook.
Q&A

What is the better way to capture long directional moves or higher time frames such as three months?

Futures contracts such as the SNQ or long option contracts are better for trending markets.

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Actionable takeawayFutures and long options are better for trending markets.
Q&A

Is there a way to approach trading the yen less directionally without using futures or forex directly?

The speaker suggests using FXY futures as an alternative to trading the yen directly, but acknowledges that there are other more profitable opportunities in the market.

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Actionable takeawayFXY futures can be used to trade the yen without direct forex exposure.
Q&A

Have they become too big to fail?

The discussion explores whether large tech companies like TSMC, Google, Apple, Amazon, and others are too big to fail. It suggests that while these companies are significant, it's not clear if they are too big to fail, as their failure could impact the economy, but they might still be able to recover or be acquired.

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Actionable takeawayThe speaker is uncertain about whether large tech companies are too big to fail, noting that while their failure could have economic consequences, they may still be able to recover or be acquired.
Q&A

What if you bought it close to the all-time highs?

The speaker suggests that buying close to all-time highs could be risky, as it depends on the company's performance and market conditions. They mention that if a company is acquired, it might be seen as a success, but if it fails, it could be a failure for shareholders.

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Actionable takeawayBuying stocks near all-time highs carries significant risk, as the company's future performance and market conditions will determine the outcome.
Q&A

Have you traded three time ETFs from the dog pound? Do you like trading them?

The speaker has traded them but does not currently trade them, preferring other investments. They mention that three-time leverage ETFs are short-term trading vehicles and not suitable for long-term holding.

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Actionable takeawayThree-time leverage ETFs are short-term tools with inherent risks due to compounding leverage and margin charges.
Q&A

Are there any algorithmic platforms that take retail money and accept retail money that you like?

The speaker mentions that there are algorithmic platforms that accept retail money, but they do not engage with them personally. They note that some platforms, like Tasty, have APIs that are used for algorithmic trading, and they mention that some people use them for zero-day trades. However, they emphasize that this is not a follow-trade and requires proactive action based on a thesis.

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Actionable takeawayThere are algorithmic platforms that accept retail money, such as Tasty, which has an API used for trading. However, the speaker does not personally engage with these platforms and emphasizes the need for proactive trading strategies based on a thesis.
Q&A

What does it mean when someone says 'it's an algorithm'?

It means the system uses a set of rules or logic to make decisions, but the specific details of what the algorithm does are not explained. The speaker emphasizes the importance of understanding the algorithm's logic to assess its effectiveness.

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Actionable takeawayUnderstanding the specifics of an algorithm is crucial before investing in it, as it affects the system's reliability and performance.
Q&A

Are these companies too big to fail?

The speaker discusses whether large companies are too big to fail and considers the implications if capital dries up for capex. They suggest that these companies may not be able to borrow funds if needed, and the question of alternative financing methods is raised.

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Actionable takeawayThe discussion highlights the potential risks of large companies facing capital shortages and the need to consider alternative financing methods.
Q&A

Is it priced correctly given the information that we know today?

100%. Could it move outside the expected move? 100%.

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Actionable takeawayThe speaker confirms that the price is correctly priced based on current information, but acknowledges the possibility of unexpected movements.
Q&A

What do you think about UNH stock right now?

The speaker suggests a two-sided trade with no directional bias in UNH, possibly involving strangles or iron condors, and notes that markets are wide and not easily tradable.

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Actionable takeawayConsider a two-sided trade with no directional bias in UNH, possibly involving strangles or iron condors, while being aware of wide markets and limited tradability.
Q&A

When are we going to Fridays?

The speaker does not like to work and loves their 3-day weekend.

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Actionable takeawayThe speaker prefers a 3-day weekend and does not like to work on Fridays.