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Are YOUNGER Traders Reshaping the Markets? | 8.13 | One Lucky Dog

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Trade ideas

Trade idea

Trade idea

Premium sellers should take profits and reduce size as the market may change.

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Time horizonShort-term
Entry / triggerThe best four-week stretch of 2026 for premium sellers due to premium contraction and sideways range.
Invalidation / stopReduce size as the market may change.
SpeakerTom Sosnoff
Risks
  • Market reversal
  • Premium contraction
Trade idea

Trade idea

Shorting at 7800 and 9800

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Entry / triggerI'm getting a little short right here at 9800. I'm sorry at 7800.
SpeakerSpeaker
Trade idea

Trade idea Scaling up by increasing contract size or taking more risk

Scaling up should be done in stages: first take more risk, then increase contract size

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StrategyScaling up by increasing contract size or taking more risk
Entry / triggerProve concept first by taking more risk, then increase contract size
SpeakerSpeaker
Trade idea

Trade idea covered call

maximize profit with minimal action

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Strategycovered call
Assetstock
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerstock closes over 220 and profit is maximized
Target / exitmoney in account by next week
Invalidation / stopstock closes below 220
SpeakerTony
Risks
  • stock price drops below 220
Trade idea

Trade idea

The speaker is not considering a trade in S&P due to the significant move.

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Entry / triggerS&P's up 60. Not a good move for me right now. Um that's a big move for the first 45 minutes of the day.
SpeakerTom

Insights

Insight

Overcoming Loss Aversion Through Increased Trading

The speaker suggests that trading more can help overcome loss aversion by building muscle memory and reducing fear of making mistakes. The more trades executed, the less riskier it becomes, as the trader becomes more comfortable with the process.

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Applicable when
  • repeated exposure to trading
  • building confidence through experience
Limitations
  • Does not address the underlying psychological factors
  • May not be suitable for all traders

Q&A

Q&A

Have we reached some kind of a saturation point with the immense competition from exchanges creating new products to financial service firms creating new products, and everybody's launching whatever they can? Is it overload or is this a good thing?

It's a double-edged sword, but I think it's a little bit of overkill for the equity market at least. I'm all for predictive markets, but I don't need the S&P 499.

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Actionable takeawayThe speaker believes there is an overabundance of new financial products, but is supportive of predictive markets.
Q&A

What are your parameters and benchmarks for taking profits when you go long or short a stock?

The speaker suggests looking at the expected move of a stock over a specific period (30-50 days), then setting a target at 25% or 50% of that expected move. They emphasize that this should be less than the expected move and serve as a target, not a hard stop.

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Actionable takeawaySet profit targets based on expected stock movement, typically 25-50% of the projected move over a defined period.
Q&A

What is the guidance on adjusting defined risk positions at 21 days?

For defined risk positions, it's recommended to roll or close the position after 21 days as it cleans up the position tab. However, if left until 14 days or less, the difference is minimal, and there's not much urgency to adjust.

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Actionable takeawayDefined risk positions should be rolled or closed after 21 days for consistency and to maintain a clean position tab. Adjustments are not urgent if the position is near expiration.
Q&A

What is the name of the fund that Robinhood has for retail investors?

Robinhood Ventures, which invests in pre-IPO deals.

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Actionable takeawayRobinhood Ventures is a fund that allows retail investors to participate in pre-IPO deals.
Q&A

What's the opinion on moving funds from a Roth IRA to a margin account?

The speaker suggests moving funds to accounts with more optionality and flexibility, such as margin accounts, for greater liquidity and flexibility. They emphasize the importance of having liquid funds and avoiding long-term commitments.

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Actionable takeawayConsider moving funds to accounts with more flexibility and liquidity, especially if you have a retirement plan and want to maintain optionality.
Q&A

Strategically how do I best take advantage of getting my best uh

If the call is in the money and the stock is above the strike, the profit is already realized. If the trader wants to keep the stock, they can do nothing and the position will expire. If they want to continue the position, they can buy back the call and sell another one.

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Actionable takeawayIf the call is in the money and the stock is above the strike, the profit is already realized. If the trader wants to keep the stock, they can do nothing and the position will expire.
Q&A

That is the most I want to sell on Nvidia this year for tax purposes.

Roll calls forward to avoid assignment risk and large tax bill.

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Actionable takeawayRoll calls forward to avoid assignment risk and large tax bill.
Q&A

How do you handle when you have really good win streaks?

A lot better than we handle really bad losing streaks. A lot lot better.

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Actionable takeawayHandling win streaks is better than handling losing streaks.
Q&A

Should I keep rental property as a diversification or just sell it and use that fund for option trading?

The speaker suggests that keeping the rental property as a diversification is a valid approach, but also acknowledges that managing real estate can be burdensome. They emphasize the importance of considering the scale of the investment and the potential challenges of managing a rental property.

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Actionable takeawayConsider diversification benefits of rental property while evaluating the practicality and management burden of owning it, especially when compared to the flexibility of option trading.
Q&A

Do drawdowns scare people?

The answer is no, they come back. People are being opportunistic and learn to be opportunistic, so drawdowns shouldn't scare anybody.

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Actionable takeawayDrawdowns do not necessarily scare people as they tend to recover, and market participants are becoming more opportunistic.
Q&A

Does the stock need to split because it's so high?

The speaker states that Goldman Sachs does not need to split, as the stock price is high but not at all-time highs. They also mention that stock splits are not necessary for companies if they are performing well and do not need to make their stock more approachable.

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Actionable takeawayStock splits are not necessary for companies that are performing well and do not need to make their stock more approachable.
Q&A

Why do you sell premium and play the high probability game?

The speaker explains that selling premiums and focusing on high probability trades is a strategy to develop a culture of more wins than losses for new traders, even though it doesn't guarantee profitability.

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Actionable takeawayFocus on high probability trades to build a positive trading culture with more wins than losses.
Q&A

What is loss aversion?

Loss aversion is a cognitive bias where investors react more strongly to losses than to equivalent gains. It often leads to emotional decisions in trading.

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Actionable takeawayLoss aversion can lead to poor trading decisions, such as holding onto losing positions or selling winners too quickly.
Q&A

What is the impact of loss aversion on trading behavior?

Loss aversion leads to holding onto losing positions in hopes of breaking even and selling winning positions too quickly, which can result in increased risk-taking and poor trading outcomes.

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Actionable takeawayTraders should be aware of loss aversion and its impact on decision-making to avoid common pitfalls.
Q&A

Why not try buying options occasionally?

The speaker suggests buying options occasionally to mix things up, but emphasizes that it should be out-of-the-money options, not deep in-the-money ones. They compare buying options to buying insurance, suggesting it's a form of protection rather than a direct investment.

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Actionable takeawayBuying out-of-the-money options can be a strategy for diversification, similar to insurance, but should be approached with caution and understanding of the risks involved.
Q&A

you disagree that you need to buy it?

No, I'm disagreeing with your whole insurance argument and I've always hated this argument when it comes to option trading because I don't consider option sellers to be like insurance.

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Actionable takeawayThe speaker disagrees with the comparison of option sellers to insurance providers, arguing that the two are fundamentally different in terms of risk and statistical edge.
Q&A

Out of the two options below, which one do you prefer? 75% chance to win $4,000, 25% chance is uh zero, or 100% chance of gaining $2,000.

The rational investor would choose the second option (100% chance of gaining $2,000) because the expected return on that is $3,000.

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Actionable takeawayA rational investor should consider expected return when choosing between options with different probabilities of success.
Q&A

When did Nico start trading?

Nico started trading when he was 12 years old.

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Actionable takeawayNico began trading at a young age, indicating early exposure to financial markets.