Trade idea
Trade idea
Microsoft's earnings report presented an upside opportunity
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Entry / triggertrading Microsoft to the upside on earnings
SpeakerTom Sosnoff
high confidenceVerify in video at 03:51 ↗
Episode
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Trade idea
Trade idea put butterfly
The butterfly has an embedded long put spread, making it a winner
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Strategyput butterfly
Time horizonSeptember
Entry / triggernail a long meta sep butterfly
Target / exitsell the 550 525 profit on that on that long put spread
Speaker989 Lost Dog
high confidenceVerify in video at 09:17 ↗
Trade idea
Trade idea put butterfly
A put butterfly strategy can be adjusted by selling a put spread to convert it into a regular put spread for a net credit.
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Strategyput butterfly
Entry / triggersell the 525 550 put spread
Target / exittake profits off the table
SpeakerSal
high confidenceVerify in video at 09:41 ↗
Trade idea
Trade idea strangle
A wide strangle was sold in Microsoft due to expected earnings movement.
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Strategystrangle
Entry / triggerMicrosoft earnings
SpeakerTony Battista
high confidenceVerify in video at 18:08 ↗
Trade idea
Trade idea Using short-term options and futures for leverage
These products are a futures alternative to individual stocks
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StrategyUsing short-term options and futures for leverage
Time horizonShort term (two, three day kind of hold)
Entry / triggerWhen the market is moving two or three percent a day
Invalidation / stopAvoid holding for the long term due to decay
SpeakerUnknown
Risks
- Decay components
- Contango
- Rolling forward costs
high confidenceVerify in video at 19:33 ↗
Trade idea
Trade idea Directional trading
Directional trading is necessary when trading during earnings
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StrategyDirectional trading
Entry / triggerTrading during earnings requires directional trades
SpeakerSpeaker
high confidenceVerify in video at 23:52 ↗
Trade idea
Trade idea selling puts
selling puts in a stock you want to own but don't want to take ownership of
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Strategyselling puts
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerwhen the puts get to a 50, 60 delta
Target / exitroll them to the next month
Invalidation / stopif the trader wants to avoid owning the stock
Speakerunknown
Risks
- assignment risk
- premium decay risk
high confidenceVerify in video at 28:11 ↗
Trade idea
Trade idea rolling out of expiring positions to adjust for market movements
Adjust positions early on big movement days to manage risk and capitalize on market direction.
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Strategyrolling out of expiring positions to adjust for market movements
Entry / triggeron a big movement day
SpeakerUnknown
high confidenceVerify in video at 35:22 ↗
Trade idea
Trade idea put spread
selling a put spread was the perfect call
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Strategyput spread
ExpirationSep
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerselling a put spread
Target / exitcredit
Invalidation / stopmarket movement
Speakerspeaker
Structure / legs
- Sep 630
- Sep 610
Risks
- market movement
high confidenceVerify in video at 37:39 ↗
Trade idea
Trade idea Very wide iron condors with sells at the expected move
Managing early in the day increases the probability of profit in zero-day SPX options trading
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StrategyVery wide iron condors with sells at the expected move
Time horizonDaily
Entry / triggerManage early in the day, within a half hour of the opening
Target / exitHigh probability of profit between 80 and 90%
Invalidation / stopIf not managed early, probability drops to 50/50
SpeakerTom
Risks
- Market moves against the trade
- Failure to manage the trade early
high confidenceVerify in video at 59:35 ↗
Trade idea
Trade idea vertical or iron condor on SPX
SPX is a bold product, so you could try this in you could go to spy.
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Strategyvertical or iron condor on SPX
Entry / triggerif SPX is a bold product
SpeakerTom
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:00:45 ↗
Trade idea
Trade idea
Stocks got a little oversold
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Entry / triggerI felt like stocks got a little oversold yesterday afternoon, so I went home a little bit long
SpeakerTom Sosnoff
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:11:04 ↗
Trade idea
Trade idea
The speaker prefers trading around the open and closing towards the end of the day.
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Entry / triggerTrade around the open
SpeakerSpeaker
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:14:34 ↗
Trade idea
Trade idea
The trade is a 50/50 shot, and the speaker suggests leaving it on or rolling it.
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Entry / triggerIf you had no position on right now, would you put that trade on right now going into earnings?
SpeakerScott
Risks
- If Apple opens down $10 tomorrow, the trade could result in a significant loss.
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:24:56 ↗
Trade idea
INFQ bullish
The speaker is still bullish on INFQ and expects it to perform well.
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Strategybullish
Assetstock
Entry / triggermarket open
Target / exithigher
SpeakerTom Sosnoff
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:28:42 ↗
Insights
Q&A
Q&A
What does the end of the moderation era for the markets mean?
It signifies a shift to a more volatile, temperamental market environment, where traditional moderation is no longer expected.
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Actionable takeawayMarkets are expected to become more volatile and less predictable.
high confidenceVerify in video at 00:29 ↗
Q&A
What do you do with a long meta sep butterfly that you nailed?
Sell the 550 525 profit on that on that long put spread and be left with a regular put spread.
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Actionable takeawaySell the 550 525 profit on that on that long put spread and be left with a regular put spread.
high confidenceVerify in video at 09:14 ↗
Q&A
Do you think we get a sell-off today where we're unchanged or up 20 on the E mini S&P's?
Yes, a sell-off is expected today due to the size of the move yesterday, and it's considered unprecedented.
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Actionable takeawayExpect a sell-off today due to the significant move yesterday.
high confidenceVerify in video at 10:43 ↗
Q&A
What is meant by decaying daily resettling or resetting in leveraged ETFs?
Decaying daily resettling or resetting refers to the compounding effect of daily returns in leveraged ETFs, which can lead to losses even if the underlying asset remains unchanged.
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Actionable takeawayLeveraged ETFs can lose value even if the underlying asset doesn't move due to daily compounding.
high confidenceVerify in video at 18:39 ↗
Q&A
What are the best tools for analyzing the technical strengths of a stock versus what the institutional or retail sentiment is on that stock?
The best tool is implied volatility (IVR), which measures volatility relative to the stock itself. High IV indicates higher volatility and suggests strategies like selling premium. Charts are also used to assess if a stock is at the low or high end of its range.
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Actionable takeawayUse implied volatility (IVR) to determine volatility relative to the stock and use charts to assess price levels.
high confidenceVerify in video at 21:15 ↗
Q&A
How do you go about trading during earnings?
Trading during earnings requires directional trades, and the speaker avoids them unless there's a stock they want to own. They usually sell premium to stay engaged.
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Actionable takeawayDirectional trading is necessary when trading during earnings
high confidenceVerify in video at 23:55 ↗
Q&A
Will Micron Technologies rally to trade over 1,000 by the end of the year 2026?
The speaker believes there is a 75 to 80% chance of yes, while the other participant believes it will be even higher, around 85 or 90%.
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Actionable takeawayThe speaker and participant have differing opinions on the likelihood of Micron Technologies reaching a price above 1,000 by the end of 2026.
high confidenceVerify in video at 29:46 ↗
Q&A
21 days expiration rolls tomorrow. Yes, it is. 21 DT is tomorrow, which is Friday. On a big movement day like today, do you seek to roll early with the move or try to avoid it on a big move in day or do you not care either way?
On a big movement day, it's prudent to roll early to adjust positions, especially if you have short delta. If you have long delta, you might wait until the next day.
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Actionable takeawayAdjust positions early on big movement days to manage risk and capitalize on market direction.
high confidenceVerify in video at 35:05 ↗
Q&A
What was the reason for selling a put spread?
The speaker sold a put spread due to the Nasdaq's upward movement and the belief that the market would not move significantly downward.
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Actionable takeawayThe speaker sold a put spread based on the Nasdaq's upward movement and the belief that the market would not move significantly downward.
high confidenceVerify in video at 37:39 ↗
Q&A
Any advice for a rookie PS I hate my day job.
The speaker advises that making 1.5% daily gains through day trading is unrealistic for a retail trader, especially with a small account. They suggest starting with long positions and emphasize learning about risk and decision-making through trading, noting it can be a life-changing experience.
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Actionable takeawayDay trading for significant daily gains is not realistic for most retail traders. Starting with long positions and focusing on learning about risk and decision-making is recommended.
high confidenceVerify in video at 42:27 ↗
Q&A
What are your thoughts on selling an out of the money December 2028 covered call for buying power relief?
The speaker is against selling an out of the money December 2028 covered call for buying power relief, stating that it doesn't provide any relief and is not a good idea. They suggest selling a put instead.
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Actionable takeawayThe speaker advises against selling an out of the money December 2028 covered call for buying power relief, suggesting that it is not a good idea and that selling a put might be a better option.
high confidenceVerify in video at 47:21 ↗
Q&A
Is this the most important framing shift for how traders should think about the markets going forward?
The speaker agrees with the framing shift, suggesting that the moderation era has become the new operating environment. However, they express uncertainty about whether this is a permanent change or a temporary phase, emphasizing the need for time to determine its validity.
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Actionable takeawayThe speaker acknowledges the shift in market dynamics but remains cautious, suggesting that traders should monitor the situation over time to determine if it represents a lasting change.
medium confidenceVerify in video at 51:35 ↗
Q&A
What would be a high probability profit high pop strategy?
The high probability profit high pop strategy involves managing zero-day SPX options early in the day, within a half hour of the opening, and managing the trade within two hours of the opening. This increases the probability of profit to between 80 and 90%.
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Actionable takeawayManage zero-day SPX options early in the day to increase the probability of profit.
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:00:16 ↗
Q&A
is the most important portfolio construction question of 2026 whether investors have become too dependent on stocks.
No, because the returns from equities have been so strong compared to bonds, and it's worked. However, there is a concern about whether this dependency will change, and until that happens, the course should be maintained.
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Actionable takeawayMaintain the current course in portfolio construction as equities have outperformed bonds, but be cautious about potential changes in market dynamics.
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:01:45 ↗
Q&A
Do you trade RSP? If yes, is there any advantage over SPY?
No, there is no advantage to trading RSP over SPY. SPY has unmatched liquidity in the derivatives market, making it the preferred choice for trading.
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Actionable takeawaySPY is preferred over RSP due to higher liquidity in derivatives markets.
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:06:03 ↗
Q&A
Are there certain days and certain times when there's an advantage or disadvantage to opening or closing trades?
I've been asked this question so many times. I'm actually going to give a slightly different answer than I've always given.
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Actionable takeawayThere are certain days and times that may have advantages or disadvantages for opening or closing trades, but the speaker is providing a different perspective than usual.
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:13:44 ↗
Q&A
Is there any truth to the adage of open early and close late?
The speaker argues there's no truth to the adage, as markets are random. However, there's liquidity and potential opportunities around the open and close.
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Actionable takeawayMarkets are random, and the adage of open early and close late isn't universally applicable.
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:15:17 ↗
Q&A
Are the bid ask spreads tighter at any specific time in the day?
The bid-ask spreads are as tight in the middle of the day as they are earlier or late, except for the first two or three minutes and the last two or three minutes of the trading day when they can get a little funky. The rest of the day is fully electronic with consistent spreads.
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Actionable takeawayBid-ask spreads are generally consistent throughout the trading day, with minor exceptions at the start and end of the session.
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:19:37 ↗
Q&A
Should I hold through earnings or roll and roll the dice holding through August?
The speaker suggests that it's a 50/50 shot, and the trade could be left on, rolled up and out, or covered depending on the trader's strategy.
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Actionable takeawayThe speaker advises considering multiple strategies, such as leaving the trade on, rolling it up and out, or covering it, depending on the trader's risk tolerance and market outlook.
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:24:56 ↗
Q&A
Are you still bullish on INFQ, which is a Chicago-based quantum company?
The speaker is still bullish on INFQ and expects it to perform well.
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Actionable takeawayThe speaker is bullish on INFQ and expects it to perform well.
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:28:42 ↗