LD Lossdog Research
time-horizon

30 days

3 matching records.

Trade idea

Dell Strangle

The speaker suggests selling a strangle in Dell due to the high implied volatility and the expected move of $91. The trade involves selling options at $14, with the potential for a 96% pop. The speaker adjusts the strike prices based on the stock's movement, suggesting a strangle with options at $300 and $700. The trade is considered a contrarian play, leveraging the high volatility and the potential for a significant price movement.

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StrategyStrangle
AssetEquity
ExpirationAugust
Time horizon30 days
Entry / triggerStock price at $14
Target / exit400 points wide
Invalidation / stopIf the stock moves significantly against the trade
SpeakerSpeaker
Structure / legs
  • Sell August 300 put
  • Sell August 700 call
Risks
  • Significant price movement against the trade
  • Market conditions changing rapidly
ShortequityshortstrangleDELL30 days
high confidenceVerify in video at 42:15 ↗
Trade idea

Gold strangle

The speaker is short a strangle on gold with a wide range of 1200 points, but the position has narrowed to 800 points. The speaker needs gold to rally another 100 points to roll down calls or adjust the position. The thesis is that gold prices need to stabilize for the next 30 days to allow for position management, with the expectation that the price will eventually decline to the 2000s. The invalidation is if gold prices do not stabilize or move significantly.

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Strategystrangle
Assetcommodity
ExpirationApril
Time horizon30 days
Entry / triggergold prices stabilize for 30 days
Target / exitroll down calls or close position
Invalidation / stopif gold prices do not stabilize or move significantly
SpeakerSpeaker
Structure / legs
  • 5100 calls
  • 4300 puts
Risks
  • market volatility
  • failure to stabilize gold prices
  • loss on short position
shortcommodityshortstrangle30 daysgold
high confidenceVerify in video at 51:44 ↗
Trade idea

Trade idea

The trade has a high probability of being profitable if Oracle moves within the expected range

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Time horizon30 days
Entry / triggerSold a put for 120 on Oracle when it was trading around 130
Target / exitExpected move of $19 within 30 days
Invalidation / stopIf Oracle continues to decline beyond the initial trade setup
SpeakerSha in Arkansas
Risks
  • Oracle continues to decline beyond the initial trade setup
  • Volatility changes affecting the expected move
30 days
high confidenceVerify in video at 25:30 ↗