LD Lossdog Research
time-horizon

45 days

2 matching records.

Trade idea

Trade idea strangle

high implied volatility and call skew

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Strategystrangle
Assetequity
Time horizon45 days
Entry / triggerpost earnings
Target / exit80% pop
Invalidation / stopmarket makers on
Speakerspeaker
Structure / legs
  • calls
  • puts
Risks
  • earnings announcement
  • market volatility
shortequityshortstrangle45 days
high confidenceVerify in video at 29:48 ↗
Trade idea

NG low-risk, low-reward

The speaker suggests selling the August 255 puts at a price of 284, which is 30 cents lower than the current price. The trade is considered low-risk due to the low implied volatility and the high probability of success (80%). The maximum profit is capped at $190, and the trade is a pure directional play. The speaker emphasizes that this is a low-risk, low-reward trade with a 10% return on capital over 45 days.

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Strategylow-risk, low-reward
Assetcommodity
ExpirationAugust
Time horizon45 days
Entry / triggerPrice at 284, with a delta of 19
Target / exitMaximum profit of $190
Invalidation / stopPrice drops below 255
SpeakerTom
Structure / legs
  • August 255 puts
Risks
  • Unlimited downside risk if the price drops significantly
  • Potential for lower-than-expected returns if the price does not move as anticipated
short putcommodityNG45 days
high confidenceVerify in video at 33:08 ↗