LD Lossdog Research
symbol

NG

3 matching records.

Trade idea

NG strangle

The speaker discusses a short strangle on natural gas (NG) with puts at 375/380 and calls at 450/455. They note a significant gap down on the opening, which they attribute to the inherent volatility of natural gas. The strategy is based on the expectation of a reversion to the mean after a large move up. The speaker acknowledges the difficulty of trading natural gas due to its high implied volatility and the potential for large price swings.

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Strategystrangle
Assetfutures
Expirationnot specified
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggervolatility reversion
Target / exitnot specified
Invalidation / stopnot specified
SpeakerVinny
Structure / legs
  • put
  • call
Risks
  • High volatility
  • Large price gaps
  • Market maker behavior
shortfuturesshortstrangleNGshort-term
medium confidenceVerify in video at 12:32 ↗
Trade idea

NG natural gas trade

The speaker suggests that natural gas (NG) is undervalued and could rebound quickly. The forward contract is at a low level (2.859), and the speaker warns that it can easily go to $4 in 3 days. However, the speaker also notes that it can easily drop back to $2, indicating a high volatility and potential for both upward and downward movement. The trade is based on the expectation of a rebound from the current low level.

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Strategynatural gas trade
Assetcommodity
Time horizonshort-term (3 days)
Entry / triggernatural gas is at a low level (2.859) and has been down recently
Target / exitcould reach $4 in 3 days
Invalidation / stopcould drop back to $2
Speakerspeaker
Risks
  • High volatility
  • Potential for rapid price drops
  • Lack of options equivalent for precise trading
longcommoditylongNG
medium confidenceVerify in video at 32:04 ↗
Trade idea

NG low-risk, low-reward

The speaker suggests selling the August 255 puts at a price of 284, which is 30 cents lower than the current price. The trade is considered low-risk due to the low implied volatility and the high probability of success (80%). The maximum profit is capped at $190, and the trade is a pure directional play. The speaker emphasizes that this is a low-risk, low-reward trade with a 10% return on capital over 45 days.

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Strategylow-risk, low-reward
Assetcommodity
ExpirationAugust
Time horizon45 days
Entry / triggerPrice at 284, with a delta of 19
Target / exitMaximum profit of $190
Invalidation / stopPrice drops below 255
SpeakerTom
Structure / legs
  • August 255 puts
Risks
  • Unlimited downside risk if the price drops significantly
  • Potential for lower-than-expected returns if the price does not move as anticipated
short putcommodityNG45 days
high confidenceVerify in video at 33:08 ↗