LD Lossdog Research
strategy

contrarian

4 matching records.

Trade idea

SPX contrarian

The market is currently in a phase of rapid upward movement, with significant volatility. The speaker suggests that the next downturn could be severe, potentially leading to a 2,000-point drop in the NASDAQ. This indicates a potential overbought condition, making a short position a viable contrarian strategy. The VIX levels suggest heightened uncertainty, supporting the idea that a correction is likely.

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Strategycontrarian
Assetindex
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerMarket is overbought and shows signs of a potential correction
Target / exit2,000 points down
Invalidation / stopIf the market continues to move upward without correction
SpeakerScott
Risks
  • Market may continue to move upward
  • Volatility could lead to unexpected price swings
shortindexshortcontrarianSPXshort-term
medium confidenceVerify in video at 10:38 ↗
Trade idea

gold contrarian

The speaker suggests that after a large move in gold, a contrarian approach may be appropriate. They mention selling puts as a strategy, which implies a bullish bias, but also note that the market is volatile and requires careful risk management. The speaker's focus on micro contracts suggests a preference for smaller positions to mitigate risk in such environments.

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Strategycontrarian
Assetcommodity
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerafter a large move in gold
Target / exitnot specified
Invalidation / stopnot specified
Speakerunknown
Risks
  • large price movements
  • volatility
  • market direction reversal
shortcommodityshortcontrarianshort-termgold
medium confidenceVerify in video at 10:21 ↗
Trade idea

ZN contrarian

The speaker expresses a preference for selling puts in ZN, believing it to be a decent risk-reward opportunity. They describe ZN as being on its butt, indicating a potential for a rebound. The speaker also mentions a contrarian approach, suggesting that buying assets that are on their butt is a strategy they favor. The trade idea is based on the belief that ZN is undervalued and may rebound.

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Strategycontrarian
Assetfutures
ExpirationJune
Time horizonnot specified
Entry / triggerZN is on its butt
Target / exitnot specified
Invalidation / stopnot specified
Speakerspeaker
Risks
  • Market may not rebound as expected
  • Volatility could lead to unexpected losses
longfutureslongcontrarianZN
medium confidenceVerify in video at 23:20 ↗
Trade idea

Bitcoin contrarian

If Michael Sailor is forced to liquidate Bitcoin, it could create a significant buying opportunity. The speaker suggests buying Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Salana at the bottom of such a crash, citing historical examples like the LTCM blow-up in 1998 and the 2020 market crash as precedents for contrarian buying opportunities. The speaker believes that a drop to 30,000 would be a buying opportunity, though they acknowledge it as a 'nasty' scenario.

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Strategycontrarian
Assetcrypto
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerforced liquidation event
Target / exit30,000
Invalidation / stopmarket crash
SpeakerAnton
Risks
  • Market volatility
  • Potential for further declines
  • Liquidity issues during a crash
buycryptocontrarianshort-termBitcoin
high confidenceVerify in video at 43:59 ↗