LD Lossdog Research
topic

Crude Oil

14 matching records.

Trade idea

CRUDE OIL put spread

The speaker discusses the impact of high volatility on options strategies, particularly for those who are short a put spread. The speaker explains that in a high volatility environment, the market may not move much in the short term, making it difficult for strategies that rely on directional movement. The speaker suggests that the market is pricing in the expectation of significant movement, which can delay actual price changes. This indicates that the speaker is cautioning traders about the risks of shorting options in a high volatility environment, as the market may not move as expected.

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Strategyput spread
Assetcommodity
ExpirationApril
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerhigh volatility environment
Target / exitno specific target mentioned
Invalidation / stopmarket movement or volatility decrease
SpeakerTom
Structure / legs
  • put spread
Risks
  • market movement
  • volatility decrease
  • time decay
neutralcommodityneutralput spreadshort-termCrude Oil
medium confidenceVerify in video at 56:47 ↗
Trade idea

crude oil call spread

The speaker proposes a call spread strategy on crude oil, selling 64 puts and buying 7476 calls for $229. The trade has no risk to the upside, and the speaker believes the market will stay within the expected range. The trade is considered conservative compared to naked short puts, and the speaker highlights the potential for profit if crude oil remains stable.

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Strategycall spread
Assetcommodity
ExpirationAugust 17th
Time horizon50 days
Entry / triggercurrent price around 64
Target / exitno risk to the upside
Invalidation / stopif crude oil moves significantly beyond the expected range
SpeakerMichael Sailor
Structure / legs
  • sell 64 puts
  • buy 7476 calls
Risks
  • significant price movement beyond expected range
  • volatility changes
shortcommodityshortcall spread50 daysCrude Oil
high confidenceVerify in video at 30:47 ↗
Trade idea

CRUDE_OIL selling puts

The speaker sells puts on crude oil, expecting the price to remain below the strike price. The speaker notes that the puts have a delta of 23, indicating a moderate sensitivity to price changes. The speaker acknowledges that this trade has been a losing one so far but believes that the market may provide better opportunities in the future. The speaker also mentions that the trade is part of a broader strategy of being short crude oil, which has been a long-term position.

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Strategyselling puts
Assetcommodity
ExpirationAugust
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggercrude oil price is below a certain level
Target / exitprice increase to a specified level
Invalidation / stopprice drops below a certain level
Speakerspeaker
Structure / legs
  • puts
Risks
  • the price could drop below the strike price
  • the market could move against the position
  • the trade could result in a loss
shortcommodityshortselling putsshort-termCrude Oil
medium confidenceVerify in video at 37:24 ↗
Trade idea

CRUDE_OIL short crude oil

crude oil is more of a seller rather a buyer

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Strategyshort crude oil
Assetcommodity
Entry / triggercurrent price at 85
Target / exitprice jumps back up to 86-88
SpeakerScott Sheridan
shortcommodityshortCrude Oil
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:29:41 ↗
Trade idea

CRUDE_OIL sell premium

The speaker suggests that crude oil is rangebound and advises selling premium if necessary. They believe the price is unlikely to hold above 74 and prefer being at 67. They are not willing to go short at 74 but would consider selling premium. If the price approaches 80, they would be more open to selling short. The trade idea is to sell premium in the current range, with a target of 77 to 80 and an invalidation level at 74.

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Strategysell premium
Assetcommodity
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerprice above 74
Target / exit77 to 80
Invalidation / stopprice drops below 74
Speakerspeaker
Risks
  • price drops below 74
  • volatility increases
  • market sentiment shifts
shortcommodityshortsell premiumshort-termCrude Oil
high confidenceVerify in video at 14:21 ↗
Trade idea

CRUDE OIL options selling

The speaker believes crude oil is overrated due to excessive buying activity and inflated premium levels in options. They sold calls on crude oil, expecting the premium to revert to more normal levels. The trade is based on the idea that the market has overreacted to bullish sentiment, and the premium will eventually normalize. The risks include continued bullish momentum and unexpected price increases.

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Strategyoptions selling
Assetcommodity
ExpirationApril 16th
Time horizonshort-term (day trading)
Entry / triggermarket opens with elevated premium
Target / exitpremium reverts to previous levels
Invalidation / stoppremium continues to rise beyond initial levels
SpeakerJerry
Structure / legs
  • calls
Risks
  • continued bullish momentum
  • unexpected price increases
  • volatility spikes
shortcommodityshortOptions sellingCrude Oil
medium confidenceVerify in video at 01:55 ↗
Trade idea

crude oil selling 245 puts and 3 to 305 call spread for 570

no risk to the upside

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Strategyselling 245 puts and 3 to 305 call spread for 570
Assetcommodity
Entry / triggerno risk to the upside
Target / exitpop of 80%
Invalidation / stopexplosive up moves
Speakerunknown
Structure / legs
  • puts
  • call spread
Risks
  • explosive up moves
shortcommodityshortCrude Oil
high confidenceVerify in video at 37:10 ↗
Trade idea

Crude Oil selling puts

The speaker has been selling puts on crude oil, indicating a short bias. They note that crude has been volatile and that the market has been slightly bullish. The speaker suggests that selling puts is a better strategy than selling calls in this environment, as they believe the market is unlikely to move significantly higher. The speaker also mentions that the market has been up every day, suggesting a potential for a pullback.

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Strategyselling puts
Assetcommodity
Time horizonshort-term to medium-term
Entry / triggermarket is in a range-bound or slightly bullish trend
Target / exitmarket reverts to a lower range or shows signs of weakness
Invalidation / stopmarket breaks above a key resistance level or shows strong bullish momentum
SpeakerScott
Structure / legs
  • puts
Risks
  • market moves against the short position
  • volatility increases beyond expected levels
shortcommodityshortselling putsCrude Oil
medium confidenceVerify in video at 42:25 ↗
Q&A

What is the expected move in crude oil by August expiration?

The expected move in crude oil by August expiration is $8, with the price expected to stay within a range that allows the broken wing butterfly trade to profit.

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Actionable takeawayThe expected move in crude oil by August expiration is $8, which is used to determine the strike prices for the broken wing butterfly trade.
Crude Oiltrading strategy
high confidenceVerify in video at 38:31 ↗
Q&A

What are the profit targets for scalping on highly volatile days?

The speaker suggests that on highly volatile days, profit targets for scalping on the S&P could range from 10 to 20 points. For commodities like crude oil, the target might be $1, while for gold, it could be $5.

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Actionable takeawayProfit targets for scalping vary based on market conditions and the asset being traded. On highly volatile days, the speaker suggests aiming for 10 to 20 points on the S&P.
scalpingCrude Oilgoldvolatility
high confidenceVerify in video at 28:18 ↗
Q&A

Are you still long in crude oil?

The speaker is no longer long in crude oil. They reversed their position yesterday, flipping from long to short. They mention that they usually do not make such reversals and that the trade has been a bad one so far.

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Actionable takeawayThe speaker is currently short crude oil after reversing their position. They acknowledge that the trade has been a bad one so far.
Crude Oiltrading strategy
high confidenceVerify in video at 43:22 ↗
Q&A

What is driving big moves in gold, silver, and crude oil?

The speaker notes that despite the dollar strengthening, gold has reached all-time highs in 2025, challenging the usual inverse relationship between the dollar and gold. This suggests that factors beyond traditional economic indicators are influencing commodity prices, such as geopolitical tensions, inflation expectations, or shifts in monetary policy.

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Actionable takeawayThe speaker suggests that the price movements in commodities like gold, silver, and crude oil are influenced by factors beyond traditional economic indicators, such as geopolitical tensions and inflation expectations.
Crude Oilgoldsilver
medium confidenceVerify in video at 23:15 ↗
Q&A

What is the speaker's position in the S&P and NASDAQ?

The speaker is short S&P futures and NASDAQ options, having covered 10% of their position in the NASDAQ options. They are also short crude oil and gold/silver premium.

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Actionable takeawayThe speaker is managing their positions by covering a portion of their short positions in response to market movements.
Crude Oilgoldrisk managementsilver
high confidenceVerify in video at 1:28:13 ↗