LD Lossdog Research
direction

neutral

12 matching records.

Trade idea

SKHY Options selling

The speaker suggests selling premium in SKHY due to high implied volatility. They recommend skewing the premium based on bullish or bearish sentiment. The speaker also mentions that SKHY has options available, but the exact strike prices and expiration dates are not specified.

View full notes
StrategyOptions selling
Assetequity
Expirationnot specified
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerimplied volatility is high
Target / exitnot specified
Invalidation / stopif the stock moves significantly against the position
Speakernot specified
Structure / legs
  • sell puts
  • sell calls
  • sell straddles
Risks
  • Implied volatility could decrease, leading to losses
  • Market movements could result in significant losses if the position is not properly managed
neutralequityneutralOptions sellingSKHYshort-term
medium confidenceVerify in video at 51:38 ↗
Trade idea

CRUDE OIL put spread

The speaker discusses the impact of high volatility on options strategies, particularly for those who are short a put spread. The speaker explains that in a high volatility environment, the market may not move much in the short term, making it difficult for strategies that rely on directional movement. The speaker suggests that the market is pricing in the expectation of significant movement, which can delay actual price changes. This indicates that the speaker is cautioning traders about the risks of shorting options in a high volatility environment, as the market may not move as expected.

View full notes
Strategyput spread
Assetcommodity
ExpirationApril
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerhigh volatility environment
Target / exitno specific target mentioned
Invalidation / stopmarket movement or volatility decrease
SpeakerTom
Structure / legs
  • put spread
Risks
  • market movement
  • volatility decrease
  • time decay
neutralcommodityneutralput spreadshort-termCrude Oil
medium confidenceVerify in video at 56:47 ↗
Trade idea

SPY monthly strangles

challenge to go shorter dated with strategy

View full notes
Strategymonthly strangles
Assetequity
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerusing $60,000 buying power
Target / exitmaximize account size
Invalidation / stopdefine risk, $20 wide iron condor or synthetic strangles
SpeakerNotredogus
Risks
  • volatility at lows down 50%
  • account size limitations
neutralequityneutralSPYshort-term
high confidenceVerify in video at 28:17 ↗
Trade idea

S&P 500 Two-sided risk

The speaker suggests that the risk has flipped, indicating a two-sided market with potential for both upward and downward movements. The speaker believes that the upside is less attractive than it was previously, and the risk is now more balanced. The speaker also mentions that the April expiration could take a lot of risk off the table, suggesting a potential for market consolidation or a shift in direction. The thesis is based on the speaker's assessment of market sentiment and volatility.

View full notes
StrategyTwo-sided risk
Assetindex
ExpirationApril
Time horizonShort-term
Entry / triggerMarket at 6800
Target / exitUncertain
Invalidation / stopUncertain
SpeakerSpeaker
Risks
  • Market volatility
  • Uncertainty in market direction
  • Potential for unexpected events
neutralindexneutralshort-termS&P 500
medium confidenceVerify in video at 15:06 ↗
Trade idea

MU short-term trading with small position sizes

Micron (MU) is experiencing significant daily price movements of 5-10%, indicating high volatility. The speaker suggests that traders can capitalize on this by taking small positions (e.g., 25-50 shares) and aiming for a 10-15% return. The key is to manage risk effectively and avoid overexposure, as the market can move rapidly in either direction. The speaker also notes that the stock is currently unchanged, but the potential for movement exists, especially around earnings.

View full notes
Strategyshort-term trading with small position sizes
Assetstock
Time horizonShort-term (within 1-2 trading days)
Entry / triggerEarnings report today
Target / exitPotential 10-20% move
Invalidation / stopMarket close or significant news release
SpeakerSpeaker
Risks
  • High volatility can lead to rapid losses
  • Earnings report may result in unexpected price swings
  • Market conditions can change quickly
neutralEquityneutralMU
medium confidenceVerify in video at 1:07:58 ↗
Trade idea

Marll strangle

The speaker proposed a wide strangle on Marll due to the high IVR of 102. The strategy was designed to capitalize on the volatility without being exposed to the upward bias of the market. The speaker noted that the stock had a significant move on Friday and was up 12% on the day of the trade. The strangle was considered a neutral strategy that could benefit from the high volatility, but the speaker warned that the market could 'run over' the position if it moved against the trade.

View full notes
Strategystrangle
Assetstock
Expirationcurrent
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerIVR of 102
Target / exitprofit from volatility
Invalidation / stopmarket moving against the position
Speakerunknown
Structure / legs
  • call
  • put
Risks
  • market moving against the position
  • volatility decreasing
  • liquidity issues
neutralEquityneutralstrangleshort-term
high confidenceVerify in video at 28:36 ↗
Trade idea

VXX calendar and diagonal spreads

The speaker suggests that VXX is a better alternative to VIX for calendar and diagonal strategies due to its more manageable risk profile. They emphasize that VIX calendars can lead to large credits during periods of extreme volatility, which can be detrimental to retail traders. VXX is recommended as it allows for similar strategies without the same level of risk. The thesis is that traders should avoid VIX calendars and instead use VXX for similar strategies, especially when volatility is expected to remain stable.

View full notes
Strategycalendar and diagonal spreads
Assetvolatility
Expirationnot specified
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerwhen volatility is expected to remain stable
Target / exitprofit from the decay of time value
Invalidation / stopif volatility spikes or the underlying index moves significantly
SpeakerRon
Structure / legs
  • calendar spread
  • diagonal spread
Risks
  • volatility spikes
  • underlying index movement
  • market regime changes
neutralneutralshort-termvolatility
high confidenceVerify in video at 24:26 ↗
Trade idea

SPX broken wing butterfly

The speaker suggests a patent-pending broken wing butterfly strategy for SPX, which is a complex options strategy that involves buying and selling multiple strike prices. The idea is to capitalize on the market's volatility and rotation, with the potential for profit if the underlying index moves within a specific range. The strategy is considered a last-minute opportunity, suggesting it is a short-term trade.

View full notes
Strategybroken wing butterfly
Assetindex
Expirationlast night
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerlast night
Target / exitnot specified
Invalidation / stopnot specified
SpeakerTony
Structure / legs
  • short strike
  • long strike
  • short strike
Risks
  • The strategy is complex and requires a good understanding of options trading.
  • The market could move outside the expected range, leading to losses.
  • The strategy is not suitable for all traders, especially those with a long-term investment horizon.
neutralindexneutralBroken Wing ButterflySPXshort-term
medium confidenceVerify in video at 28:00 ↗
Trade idea

SPACEX volatility spreads

The speaker suggests that when a highly anticipated liquid underlying like SpaceX is about to IPO, traders should use volatility spreads. This is due to the expected high volatility and the likelihood of price swings. The speaker emphasizes that traders should pick a price and leave it in, as the market will eventually fill the order. They also recommend reducing profit targets when trading such volatile assets to manage risk effectively.

View full notes
Strategyvolatility spreads
Assetequity
Expirationnot specified
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggerhigh anticipated volatility due to IPO
Target / exitnot specified
Invalidation / stopnot specified
Speakernot specified
Structure / legs
  • short-term volatility spreads
Risks
  • Volatility can be higher than expected
  • Market makers may have different strategies
  • The initial price may not be filled at the desired level
neutralequityneutralshort-term
high confidenceVerify in video at 50:11 ↗
Trade idea

SPX expected move butterfly

The expected move butterfly strategy is suitable for short-term trading in highly liquid instruments like the SPX. By widening the strike range and paying a price between $1 and $2, traders can increase their chances of success. The strategy is based on the probability of the market moving within a specific range, with the odds of success proportional to the price paid. This approach is ideal for traders who can tolerate the low probability of success but are willing to take a calculated risk.

View full notes
Strategyexpected move butterfly
Assetindex
Expirationshort-term (0 DTE or weekly)
Time horizonshort-term
Entry / triggermarket volatility and expected directional movement
Target / exitmax profit based on strike width and price paid
Invalidation / stopif the market moves outside the expected range
SpeakerUnknown
Structure / legs
  • short 25 cents
  • short 30 cents
  • short 35 cents
Risks
  • Low probability of success
  • Market volatility
  • Incorrect assumptions about price movement
neutralindexneutralSPXshort-term
medium confidenceVerify in video at 33:37 ↗
Trade idea

ES strangles

The speaker suggests trading wide forward/ES strangles as a strategy to profit from significant market movements in either direction. The strategy involves buying both a call and a put at different strike prices, with a wide range. The speaker emphasizes the importance of not using cheap options, as they may not provide sufficient coverage for the risk involved. The speaker also discusses the notional value of the contracts and the required capital for the strategy.

View full notes
Strategystrangles
Assetindex
Expirationone month
Time horizonone month
Entry / triggermarket volatility
Target / exitprofit from significant price movements in either direction
Invalidation / stoploss if the market does not move significantly in either direction
Speakerunknown
Structure / legs
  • call
  • put
Risks
  • Market not moving significantly in either direction
  • Loss if the market moves against the position
  • Potential for high capital requirements
neutralindexneutralStrangleES
high confidenceVerify in video at 37:30 ↗
Trade idea

SPX iron condor

The trader is setting up an iron condor with a wide range of $50, using 45 delta for the short legs. The strategy aims to collect a credit of around $14.50, with a target of 50% profit. The trader acknowledges that the difference between SPX and XSP is negligible, and the focus is on the speed of profit realization. The trade is considered low risk due to the wide wings, which reduce the chance of max loss.

View full notes
Strategyiron condor
Assetindex
ExpirationMay 1st
Time horizonShort-term
Entry / triggerMarket closed
Target / exit50% profit
Invalidation / stopMarket moves beyond the wings
SpeakerPamela
Structure / legs
  • 6050 6100 put
  • 7100 7150 call
Risks
  • Market volatility
  • Unexpected price movements
  • Time decay
neutralindexneutraliron condorSPXshort-term
high confidenceVerify in video at 14:16 ↗